XRP Price Prediction: Bearish BoS Keeps $1.045 in Focus as XRP Struggles Below $1.10

The XRP price is hovering around $1.06-$1.08, leaving the token close to a key support area while its short-term market structure remains tilted lower.

A bearish break of structure (BoS) on the four-hour chart has placed $1.045 in focus as the next notable downside level. XRP is also trading below several short- and long-term moving averages, adding to the resistance facing any recovery attempt.

Momentum indicators, however, are less decisive. The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 43, while the broader oscillator reading remains neutral. This suggests that selling pressure is present but has not yet pushed XRP into a deeply oversold condition.

The setup leaves XRP at an important technical crossroads. A sustained move below $1.045 could expose lower support, while a recovery above the $1.10-$1.13 region would weaken the current bearish structure.

XRP Price Today: XRP Remains Below $1.10

The XRP price today is trading near $1.07 on the Bitstamp XRPUSD market, according to the latest technical data in the analysis. XRP recently declined by approximately 2.7%, keeping the token below the $1.10 level that has become an important short-term threshold.

XRP was trading at around $1.06, down 2.76% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP price via Brave New Coin 

Recent market coverage has also identified the $1.00-$1.05 region as an important support area for XRP. Earlier in July, the token defended this zone while remaining capped by nearby resistance.

The current price action is therefore taking place within a relatively narrow band. On the downside, buyers need to defend the $1.05 area and the recent swing low near $1.045. On the upside, XRP faces resistance around $1.08-$1.10 before the broader $1.10-$1.13 zone comes into view.

This compression makes the next confirmed break particularly relevant to the short-term XRP price prediction.

XRP Technical Analysis Shows Bearish Break of Structure

The four-hour chart provides the clearest bearish signal.

XRP recently registered a bearish break of structure below $1.085, according to the technical setup. That level has since become a key pivot for the current trend.

A rejection at the $1.091 EMA55 or a 4H close below the $1.079 EMA21 would reinforce the bearish BoS toward $1.045. Source: TradingView

At approximately $1.0785, XRP was trading close to its 21-period EMA at $1.079. The 55-period EMA stood higher at $1.0909, creating another layer of resistance above the market.

The setup also identifies a previous swing high at $1.1167 and a swing low at $1.045. The latter has not yet been retested in the current structure, leaving it as a notable downside reference.

A four-hour close below the 21 EMA around $1.079, followed by continued weakness, would keep the bearish structure intact. In that case, the lower volatility-band level near $1.0583 becomes an intermediate area to monitor before the $1.045 swing low.

The alternative scenario would require XRP to regain the overhead resistance zone. A four-hour close above approximately $1.0998 would invalidate the specific bearish setup and bring the $1.1167 swing high back into focus.

XRP Price Chart Shows $1.10-$1.13 Resistance

The XRP price chart shows a major decision zone between $1.10 and $1.13.

A daily technical setup has highlighted repeated rejections around the 50 EMA, with XRP now testing the 20 EMA near $1.09 as resistance. For bulls, reclaiming the 20/50 EMA area would provide an initial improvement in market structure.

XRP has broken below ascending daily support after repeated 50 EMA rejections and is now testing the 20 EMA near $1.09 as resistance. Source: @ChartNerdTA via X

A sustained move above that zone could open a path toward approximately $1.16, according to the technical scenario.

The broader pivot structure also identifies $1.128 as the classic pivot point. Above that, the listed resistance levels are approximately $1.249, $1.459, and $1.790.

These wider levels are less relevant to the immediate four-hour setup but provide context for the larger XRP price structure.

Recent market analysis similarly identified $1.088-$1.091 as immediate resistance and $1.20-$1.25 as a more substantial zone if XRP successfully clears the nearer barriers.

The key distinction is confirmation. A brief move above $1.10 would not necessarily establish a bullish reversal. XRP would need to hold the reclaimed level and continue making higher highs and higher lows.

XRP Moving Averages Keep Pressure on the Price

The moving-average structure remains one of the clearest signs of weakness in the current XRP price forecast.

TradingView’s technical readings show 13 sell signals, one neutral signal, and one buy signal across the moving-average group. Most of the averages are positioned above the current XRP price.

The short-term readings include:

• EMA 10: approximately $1.085
• SMA 10: approximately $1.090
• EMA 20: approximately $1.093
• SMA 20: approximately $1.095
• EMA 30: approximately $1.101
• SMA 30: approximately $1.102
• EMA 50: approximately $1.127
• SMA 50: approximately $1.107

The longer-term averages are substantially higher:

• EMA 100: approximately $1.210
• SMA 100: approximately $1.224
• EMA 200: approximately $1.407
• SMA 200: approximately $1.364

This arrangement means XRP would need to recover through several layers of resistance before establishing a stronger bullish structure.

The Hull Moving Average 9 near $1.066 is the notable exception, generating a buy signal and sitting close to the current market. It could act as short-term dynamic support, although a single moving average is insufficient to confirm a trend reversal.

The Ichimoku Base Line near $1.104 and VWMA 20 around $1.095 also remain above the current price, reinforcing the resistance cluster.

XRP RSI Remains Neutral as Momentum Weakens

Momentum readings offer a more balanced view of the XRP crypto price.

The 14-period RSI is approximately 43.01, keeping it in neutral territory. It remains above the conventional 30 oversold threshold, meaning the current decline has not yet produced an extreme RSI reading.

The Stochastic %K is around 25.44, while CCI 20 is approximately -86.58. Both remain classified as neutral in the cited technical data, although the CCI reading is moving closer to the lower end of its typical range.

The short-term momentum indicators are weaker. Momentum 10 is approximately -0.07322, while the MACD level stands near -0.01043. Both generate sell signals.

Bull Bear Power is also negative at approximately -0.01706, another indication that sellers retain some near-term influence.

At the same time, Stochastic RSI Fast is around 16.16 and produces the lone buy signal among the listed momentum readings. That reading could indicate that short-term selling has become stretched, although it does not independently establish a bottom.

The ADX reading of approximately 10.84 is also important. Its low level indicates that the current trend lacks strong directional strength, which means XRP could remain range-bound rather than immediately entering a sustained move in either direction.

What Happens If XRP Breaks $1?

The XRP price prediction becomes considerably more bearish if XRP loses the $1 support level on a confirmed basis.

XRP fell 3% this week to just above $1, forming a bearish pennant that could signal further downside if support breaks. Source: CryptoSanders9563 on TradingView

The immediate downside structure includes $1.045 and approximately $1.0583 on the four-hour chart. If those levels fail, $1 becomes the next major psychological threshold.

A decisive break below $1 would also invalidate the support structure that has held during recent consolidation. The pennant analysis suggests that such a move could open the way toward $0.80.

This scenario would also align with the broader support levels identified in the technical data. Classic pivot calculations place S1 near $0.918, S2 around $0.798 and S3 near $0.467.

Those levels should not be interpreted as fixed forecasts. They are reference points derived from the pivot framework and would become relevant only if XRP continues to decline.

Recent market analysis has likewise highlighted the $1.00-$1.05 zone as an important defense area, with a loss of that region potentially bringing $0.90 and $0.80 into focus.

Bulls Need to Reclaim $1.10

The bullish alternative depends first on XRP recovering the $1.10 area.

A sustained move above $1.10-$1.13 would challenge the current bearish structure and put the 50 EMA near $1.127 back into focus. A stronger recovery above the $1.13 pivot area could then improve the broader technical picture.

The next important upside reference from the daily setup is around $1.16. Beyond that, the $1.20-$1.25 region represents a more substantial resistance band.

Recent XRP market analysis has also emphasized that the token remains in a compression phase, with buyers defending the $1.00-$1.05 area while sellers continue to cap rallies near nearby resistance.

That means the current XRP forecast is not simply a question of whether the token is bullish or bearish. The market is approaching a technical decision point where the $1 support area and $1.10-$1.13 resistance zone could determine the next directional move.

XRP Price Outlook: Bearish BoS Keeps $1.045 in Focus

The current XRP price prediction remains cautiously bearish while the token trades below its key moving averages and the four-hour bearish BoS remains intact.

At approximately $1.07-$1.08, XRP is sitting between nearby support and resistance. The $1.045 swing low is the immediate downside level to watch, followed by the psychological $1 mark.

The technical evidence is not uniformly bearish. RSI at 43.01 remains neutral, Stochastic RSI Fast is showing a buy signal, and the low ADX reading indicates that trend strength is limited. These factors leave room for consolidation or a relief rebound.

Still, the moving-average structure is more clearly negative. XRP remains below the 10-, 20-, 30-, 50-, 100- and 200-period averages listed in the technical analysis, while MACD and Momentum continue to signal weakness.

For the bearish setup to weaken, XRP would need to reclaim $1.09-$1.10, followed by the $1.10-$1.13 resistance cluster. A move through those levels would put $1.16 back in focus and could challenge the prevailing lower-high structure.

On the other hand, a confirmed break below $1.045 would keep the bearish BoS scenario active. A subsequent loss of $1.00 would become a more important technical development and could expose the token to lower support areas, including the $0.90-$0.80 region.

For now, the XRP current price remains caught between these competing levels. Until one side establishes a decisive breakout, the chart continues to point toward a market in consolidation with a bearish tilt rather than a confirmed trend reversal.