XRP Price Prediction: XRP Surges 39% in Two Days, Key Resistance Breakout Opens Path to $1.50 Retest

The move has pushed the XRP price above several important technical levels and brought the $1.50 area back into focus as the next major resistance.

The rally accelerated after XRP reclaimed the $1.00 level and moved through the $1.25-$1.30 region. By August 21, XRP was trading around $1.37-$1.40 across major market data sources, with recent session highs approaching $1.42. The exact current price varies by exchange and timestamp, but the broader trend remains clearly stronger than it was earlier in the week.

The move also coincided with a broader recovery across the cryptocurrency market. However, XRP has benefited from additional catalysts, including renewed regulatory optimism, increased trading activity, and signs of renewed accumulation among large holders.

XRP Price Breaks Above Major Technical Resistance

The latest XRP price action represents a significant change from the prolonged decline that had dominated the chart for much of the year.

According to the technical setup described in the supplied market data, the price has broken above a year-long descending trendline and moved through its 200-day exponential moving average. A daily close above these levels would strengthen the case that the previous downtrend is losing control.

XRP has broken its year-long downtrend and reclaimed the 200-day EMA, signaling a potential shift in momentum toward a 50/200 EMA golden cross. Source: Josiah Gallegos via X

The 200-day EMA is currently around $1.34, while the 200-day SMA is near $1.28. XRP’s move above both averages places the token in a stronger position than it held earlier in the month.

Shorter-term moving averages provide additional confirmation. The 10-, 20-, 30-, and 50-day EMAs are clustered around $1.06-$1.08, while the 100-day EMA is near $1.16. With the token trading substantially above those levels, most moving-average signals have shifted to Buy.

This technical improvement is also visible in the broader indicator readings. TradingView’s overall technical summary is Neutral, with 14 Buy signals, 10 Neutral readings, and two Sell signals. The moving-average component is considerably more constructive, although longer-term averages have only recently begun to turn.

Why Is XRP Going Up?

Several factors appear to be contributing to the sharp XRP price increase rather than a single isolated catalyst.

One of the most visible developments was President Donald Trump’s August 19 White House meeting with cryptocurrency executives, including Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse. Trump urged Congress to advance the CLARITY Act, while regulators and industry participants discussed the future of US digital-asset regulation. Market coverage linked the event with the acceleration in XRP and other cryptocurrency prices.

XRP price chart. Source: Brave New Coin

The event is particularly relevant to Ripple because regulatory uncertainty in the United States has historically been a major factor affecting sentiment around XRP. The latest policy signals do not remove all regulatory risks, but they have contributed to a more favorable market backdrop.

The rally was also accompanied by a significant reduction in leverage across the broader crypto market. Reports cited more than $1.5 billion in liquidations during the wider move, creating conditions in which short positions could be forced to close as prices moved higher.

Whale activity has provided another potential source of support. Market data cited by KuCoin indicated that large XRP holders added more than 300 million tokens during the week, bringing the holdings of large wallets to about 16.36 billion tokens. Such accumulation can support prices when it coincides with stronger spot demand, although wallet movements alone do not imply that prices must continue to rise.

XRP ETF Activity Adds to Market Momentum

Exchange-traded products have also become an increasingly important part of the XRP market.

Data cited in recent market coverage showed XRP spot ETFs receiving $13.24 million in inflows, with total assets reaching approximately $1.5 billion. Trading volume across the broader XRP market was also reported to be above $8 billion during the latest surge.

XRP ETFs surpassed $90 million in combined spot and derivatives trading volume on August 21, with five hours of the session still remaining. Source: @ChartNerdTA via X

A separate market dashboard shared on August 21 showed more than $90 million in combined spot and derivative XRP ETF volume during the session at the time of reporting. The dashboard indicated approximately $38.3 million in spot ETF activity and $53.4 million in derivative products, with several hours of trading still remaining.

These figures should be viewed as measures of trading activity rather than direct evidence of net capital entering XRP. Nevertheless, the increase in ETF-related turnover indicates that institutional and professional market participation is becoming more relevant to the latest XRP price move.

XRP Price Prediction: Can XRP Reach $1.50?

From a technical perspective, the $1.40-$1.43 region is the first major hurdle after the recent breakout.

Classic pivot calculations place the third resistance level around $1.41, while recent market highs have also clustered around $1.40-$1.42. A sustained move above this zone would remove an important layer of overhead resistance and leave $1.50 as the next obvious psychological and technical target.

XRP has surged 39% in two days, climbing from $1.00 to $1.39 as bullish momentum remains strong, raising the possibility of a move toward $1.50. Source: @MookieNFT via X

At around $1.39, XRP would need to gain approximately 8% to reach $1.50. That makes the target achievable without requiring another move of the magnitude seen over the past two sessions.

However, the size and speed of the current rally also create a risk of consolidation.

The daily RSI has climbed above 80 in some readings, while the latest TradingView data places the RSI near 77.22. The CCI is also elevated at roughly 343, and the Stochastic RSI is close to 80. These readings show that momentum is strong but also indicate that the price has moved rapidly into stretched territory.

An overbought reading does not necessarily mean an immediate reversal. Strong trends can remain overbought for extended periods. It does, however, increase the probability of a pause or pullback if fresh buying fails to keep pace with the recent advance.

Key XRP Price Levels to Watch

The $1.25-$1.28 area has become an important near-term support zone. It contains the region of the previous breakout and sits close to the 200-day SMA.

If the price holds above this area after a short-term retracement, the breakout structure would remain relatively intact. The next deeper support is around $1.16, close to the Ichimoku Base Line and 100-period moving-average region.

A larger decline could bring the $1.08-$1.15 zone back into focus, where several medium-term moving averages are concentrated.

On the upside, $1.40-$1.43 remains the immediate resistance area. A decisive breakout could put $1.50 in focus, while failure to clear that zone would increase the likelihood of consolidation around the newly reclaimed levels.

The key issue for the XRP price prediction is therefore not simply whether the price can briefly touch $1.50. The more important test will be whether buyers can sustain prices above the breakout area after the initial surge loses momentum.

XRP Outlook

XRP’s latest advance has materially improved its technical structure. The token has moved from around $1.00 to nearly $1.40 in two days, reclaimed the 200-day moving-average region, and broken above a long-standing descending trendline.

The rally is also supported by a combination of broader cryptocurrency strength, regulatory optimism, elevated trading activity, and reported whale accumulation. ETF activity provides another indicator of growing market participation, although it should not be interpreted as a guarantee of sustained inflows.

For now, $1.40-$1.43 is the most important resistance zone. A sustained break above it would strengthen the technical case for a retest of $1.50. Conversely, a rejection followed by a loss of the $1.25-$1.28 support area would weaken the immediate bullish structure and expose XRP to a deeper retracement.

With momentum indicators already stretched, the next phase may be less about the size of the initial rally and more about whether XRP can consolidate its gains without giving back the breakout.