Avalanche (AVAX) Price Prediction: Higher Lows and Bullish MACD Setup Put $20-$27 Recovery Targets in Play

AVAX is starting to look stronger, but the bigger recovery still has to be earned. After bouncing from $9.98, Avalanche has built higher lows and moved back above short-term resistance. Traders are now watching whether AVAX price can hold $10.55 and break through $10.96. That would give the rebound more room to develop, with $17, $22, and eventually $27 coming into focus if AVAX clears the larger resistance ahead.

AVAX Builds Higher Lows as $10.96 Comes Back Into Focus

Avalanche’s short-term structure has improved noticeably after price established a local bottom around $9.98. Since then, AVAX has been building a sequence of higher lows and recently pushed through the $10.75 resistance that had capped earlier recovery attempts.

Crypto analyst Alex Marzell’s one-hour chart shows AVAX reaching approximately $10.96 following the breakout before cooling from the highs. The important level now sits around $10.55, which previously acted as resistance and is being watched as the new short-term support.

Avalanche has been building higher lows from the $9.98 bottom, with $10.55 now acting as the immediate support beneath the $10.96 resistance. Source: Alex Marzell via X

Holding above $10.55 would keep the breakout intact and leave $10.96 open for another test. A clean move through that high could strengthen momentum further, while a sustained drop back below $10.55 would raise the risk that the latest breakout was temporary.

Multi-Year Wedge Moves Closer to a Bullish Breakout

The higher-timeframe picture is also improving. AVAX has spent several years trading inside a broad falling wedge that stretches back to the 2021 cycle. The three-week chart shared by Moustache shows price rebounding from the lower boundary of the structure around the $6-$7 region, with AVAX now recovering towards the $10-$11 area.

The momentum setup is becoming more interesting as well. On the three-week MACD, the MACD line is beginning to curl higher towards the signal line after spending an extended period in negative territory. At the same time, the bearish histogram bars have been shrinking, showing that downside momentum is gradually losing strength. A confirmed bullish crossover would be notable because the last major momentum shift on this timeframe came near an important cycle transition.

Price confirmation is still needed. The upper boundary of the falling wedge remains roughly around the $24-$28 region, while $16-$18 could act as an intermediate resistance zone before AVAX reaches the larger trendline.

AVAX remains inside a multi-year falling wedge, with support around $6-$7 and the upper trendline near $24-$28, while the three-week MACD approaches a potential bullish crossover. Source: Moustache via X

AVAX Structure Maps $17, $22 and $27 as Recovery Targets

Avalanche is approaching an important higher-timeframe resistance area that could determine whether the current recovery develops into a much larger move. Michaël van de Poppe’s chart shows AVAX trading beneath a crucial breakout region, with stronger upside momentum becoming more likely if buyers can push through and hold above that area.

The first larger recovery target sits around $17, followed by another important resistance zone near $22. If AVAX can clear both levels and continue building a sustained higher-timeframe trend, the broader projection extends towards approximately $27 as the main macro target.

The broader AVAX recovery roadmap extends from $17 towards $22 and potentially $27. Source: Michaël van de Poppe via X

The setup therefore depends on confirmation rather than the targets alone. AVAX first needs to break the current overhead resistance and hold the move on a retest. A successful breakout would bring $17 into focus first, followed by $22, while $27 becomes increasingly relevant only if the broader recovery continues to strengthen.

AVAX and Increasing ETF Inflows

The technical recovery is also arriving alongside renewed interest in Avalanche investment products. Cointelegraph reported that Bitwise’s Avalanche ETF recorded approximately $231,000 in weekly inflows, its second-highest weekly inflow of the quarter.

The update also came after a strong period for AVAX price, highlighting improving interest as the token recovered from its previous lows. ETF demand alone cannot determine AVAX’s next price move, but it adds a supportive fundamental layer while the technical structure attempts to turn higher. Continued inflows alongside stronger spot demand would make the recovery more meaningful.

Risks and Considerations

AVAX is showing signs of recovery, but buyers still need to prove they can hold the recent breakout. These are the levels and signals that could challenge the bullish case:

• Below $10.55: A sustained move back under former resistance would weaken the short-term breakout and put $10 and the $9.98 low back in focus.
• Rejection at $10.96: Another failed attempt at the local high could slow the rebound and keep AVAX in its current range.
• Unconfirmed MACD crossover: Momentum is improving on the three-week chart, but the bullish signal has not yet formed.
• Resistance before $27: AVAX still faces the $16-$18 zone and the falling wedge’s upper boundary around $24-$28. The larger targets depend on clearing those areas.

Holding $10.55 would keep the near-term recovery intact. For the $17-$27 outlook to carry more weight, AVAX needs to break higher resistance and defend those gains on a retest.

Final Thoughts: Cautious Optimism Ahead

Avalanche’s higher lows and improving three-week MACD are giving the recovery some weight, but the next move depends on whether buyers can hold $10.55 and push past the recent $10.96 high. That would keep the rebound moving towards the larger resistance zones around $17 and $22.

AVAX is trading near $10.54, up 1.04% over the last 24 hours. Source: Brave New Coin

The AVAX price prediction points to $27 as a longer-term possibility rather than an immediate target. AVAX still needs to clear the upper boundary of its falling wedge, while a drop back below $10.55 would put the recent $9.98 low back in focus.