Solana Price Prediction: SOL Eyes $100 After Breaking a Year-Long Downtrend

Solana price is starting to attract attention again as both price structure and broader market positioning begin to improve. According to Brave New Coin, SOL is trading near $92.90, down 0.72% in the last 24 hours, but the bigger story is not the small daily pullback. Solana is now entering a much more important technical decision zone.

Solana Breaks Out of a One-Year Downtrend

One of the strongest technical signals on the higher-timeframe chart is the breakout from SOL’s year-long descending channel. As highlighted by Team LAMBO, this downtrend started near the $250 region and dragged the price almost 75% lower before the latest breakout attempt.

Solana breaks above its year-long descending channel, putting the $120–$150 liquidity zone back in focus if momentum holds. Source: Team LAMBO via X

The chart now shows Solana price pushing above the upper boundary of that falling structure, which is the first sign of positivity. However, the breakout still needs a clean weekly close above the trendline to confirm that this is not just another temporary move above resistance.

The next major upside area sits around the previous liquidity zone near $120–$150. If SOL holds above the breakout region and continues building momentum, this zone could become the next higher-timeframe target.

ETF and Large Wallets on the Buying Side

The technical picture is being supported by a stronger fundamental backdrop. CryptoRus pointed to consistent institutional demand, with Solana ETF products reportedly seeing $56.6 million in net inflows over the past month, including $6.7 million in recent daily flows. That’s a massive added support to SOL’s bullish bias.

Solana ETF products continue to attract fresh inflows. Source: CryptoRus via X

At the same time, another interesting signal came from wallet activity. Crypto Chiefs highlighted that an inactive wallet appeared to return and buy roughly $6.23 million worth of SOL in a single session. The Arkham data showed notable transfers from Binance and Wintermute-linked wallets into Fireblocks custody, which can be interpreted as positioning.

A previously inactive Solana wallet returns with a $6.23 million SOL buy. Source: Crypto Chiefs via X

Reclaiming the 100-Day SMA Gives Bulls More Confidence

Ted Pillows also pointed out that Solana price has reclaimed its 100-day SMA for the first time since October 2025. That is a meaningful development because moving averages like the 100D SMA often act as a trend driver. When price reclaims them after spending months below, it can signal that momentum is starting to shift back in favor of buyers.

Solana reclaims its 100-day SMA for the first time since October 2025, strengthening the case for a push towards the $100–$105 zone. Source: Ted Pillows via X

His view suggests that if Bitcoin remains stable, SOL could continue its push towards the $100 to $105 zone. That fits well with the broader chart structure, because once Solana starts holding above reclaimed trend levels, the next challenge naturally becomes the round-number psychological resistance near $100.

Solana Technical Analysis

From a technical perspective, Solana price is now entering one of the most important zones on the higher timeframe chart. Trader Symba framed it quite clearly: this area could decide whether Solana accelerates towards $115 or falls back towards the $70 region.

Solana enters a key decision zone, where a confirmed breakout could open $100–$115 while rejection risks a pullback towards $70. Source: Trader Symba via X

That view makes sense. Price has recovered well from the lows and is now moving into a cluster of resistance formed by prior trendline structure and horizontal supply. These are usually the types of zones where the market either proves itself or gets rejected hard.

The bullish case is that SOL has already improved its structure enough to challenge the next resistance band. Holding above the breakout region and staying firm above the 100D SMA would keep momentum intact. If buyers manage that, then a move through $100 and into the $105 area becomes realistic, with $115 emerging as the next broader higher-timeframe objective.

The bearish case is that this breakout attempt fails to confirm. If SOL loses momentum around the current area and slips back under key support, then the market could easily rotate back into a wider range. In that case, the bigger downside discussion towards the $70 zone would return.

Breakout Map: Support, Resistance, and Upside Targets

Solana price prediction now depends less on short-term noise and more on whether this breakout zone can hold. The market is already showing strength, but the next step is to prove that this strength can hold around resistance.

Key areas to watch:

• Immediate support: around the low-$90 region
• Stronger support zone: roughly $86–$88
• Psychological resistance: $100
• Next upside band: $100–$105
• Higher-timeframe target: $115
• Broader bearish risk: back towards $70 if the setup fails

As long as SOL holds above the reclaimed breakout structure, bulls keep the edge. A clean move above $100 would likely shift sentiment even more aggressively, because it would confirm that buyers are not just defending support, they are actually expanding the trend.

Final Thoughts: Is Solana Price Ready to Reclaim $100?

Solana’s price is in a much stronger position than it was earlier in the year. The break above the one-year downtrend, reclaim of the 100-day SMA, solid ETF inflows, and signs of renewed large-wallet activity all point to a market that is rebuilding strength rather than fading.

Solana price trades at $92.90, down 0.72% in the last 24 hours. Source: Solana Price via Brave New Coin

That said, the real test is happening now. SOL is approaching a zone where breakouts either confirm and expand or stall and reverse. If the current structure holds, reclaiming $100 looks like a realistic next step, with $105 and even $115 opening up after that. But if this move fails to stick, Solana could still fall back into a broader corrective range. For now, the bias is improving, and the chart is giving bulls something real to work with.