Avalanche (AVAX) Price Prediction: AVAX Breakout Setup Points to $10.50, $12.80, and $15

AVAX price hasn’t shown a clean breakout yet, but the structure is starting to compress, which usually means a bigger move is coming. According to Brave New Coin data, Avalanche is trading around $9.28, with a market cap of nearly $4 billion. The 24-hour chart shows AVAX moving between roughly $9.17 and $9.47, keeping price inside the same broader range.

AVAX is trading near $9.28, up 0.05% over the last 24 hours. Source: Brave New Coin

AVAX Staking Activity Shows Long-Term Confidence

The network side still gives Avalanche a stronger long-term argument. Nazoku highlighted that the total staked supply of Avalanche-2 native has reached 44.66% of the network, indicating that a large share of the supply remains locked in staking.

Avalanche staking activity signals long-term holder confidence, with 44.66% of AVAX supply locked despite upcoming unstaking flows. Source: Nazoku via X

That matters because staking usually reflects longer-term conviction. Even while AVAX price remains stuck near lower levels, a strong staking ratio suggests that many holders are still choosing to secure the network rather than keep tokens liquid on exchanges.

However, the same update also pointed out that a significant amount of AVAX is expected to be unstaked through June and July. That does not automatically mean selling pressure, but it can increase volatility if some of that supply returns to the market.

AVAX Price Stuck Inside a 110-Day Range

AVAX price has now been trading inside the same range for more than 110 days, and this is where the technical setup becomes more important. The range high sits around $10.30–$10.50, while the lower part of the structure continues to hold near the $8–$9 region.

AVAX remains trapped inside a 110-day range, with a breakout above $10.30–$10.50 needed to open the path towards $14.50–$15. Source: ChiefraFba via X

ChiefraFba noted that a clean break above the $10.3–$10.5 range high could open a 40%–45% upside move, putting $14.5–$15 back in focus. That makes this range top the most important bullish trigger on the chart. For now, AVAX is still trading below that breakout zone. Until price clears it with strength, the market remains range-bound.

Falling Wedge Pattern Adds Breakout Pressure

Another technical chart shows AVAX forming a falling wedge on the 4-hour timeframe. This pattern has been built through lower highs and lower lows, but the latest move suggests buyers are now testing the upper wedge resistance.

AVAX tests a 4H falling wedge breakout, with $10.20–$10.50 next in focus. Source: Crypto With Gopal via X

Crypto With Gopal pointed out that momentum has started weakening near the lower trendline, while bulls are now trying to push price out of the wedge. A confirmed breakout from this structure would support a move back towards the recent resistance area.

This is important because the falling wedge aligns with the larger range setup. A wedge breakout could be the first smaller confirmation before AVAX challenges the larger $10.20–$10.50 zone.

$10.20 Reclaim Could Decide the Next Move

The cleanest short-term level is now $10.20. ChiefraT’s latest chart shows AVAX tightening between rising support and descending resistance, creating a symmetrical compression structure. If AVAX reclaims $10.20, the next upside targets sit near $11.50 and $12.80. These are the first realistic levels bulls would watch before the larger $14.50–$15 target comes into play.

AVAX compression tightens, with a $10.20 reclaim opening $11.50 and $12.80 next. Source: ChiefraT via X

On the downside, failure to break above the upper trendline keeps AVAX trapped inside the same range. A drop back towards $9.00 or below would delay the breakout and likely force bulls to defend the lower structure again.

AVAX Support and Resistance Map

AVAX price is still trading inside a compressed range, so the next move depends on how price reacts around the major resistance band. The first important level is $10.20, followed by the wider $10.30–$10.50 range high. A clean push through this area would show that buyers are finally taking control after months of sideways movement.

If that breakout confirms, the next upside targets sit near $11.50 and $12.80. Above that, the larger measured move points towards the $14.50–$15 region, which would mark a much stronger recovery from the current base.

On the downside, the $9 region remains the key support to defend. If AVAX loses that area, the current breakout pressure could fade, and the price may rotate back towards the lower part of the range. For now, AVAX is not fully confirmed, but the structure is tightening around levels that matter.

Final Thoughts: What Traders Should Watch Next

AVAX Avalanche price is still in a waiting phase, but the chart is no longer quiet. After more than three months of sideways movement, AVAX is now sitting close to the area that could decide whether this range finally turns into a real breakout.

The main thing traders should watch is whether buyers can build strength above the range high. If AVAX starts holding above that zone, attention can quickly shift back towards higher targets and stronger momentum.