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Stablecoins: Digital Dollars Demystified

This article by Notional Finance provides an up-to-date examination of today's crypto stablecoin sector, and explains the pros and cons of the stabilization methodologies of all the current stablecoin assets.

At the time of writing, there are thousands of cryptocurrencies listed at Brave New Coin. The tokens are listed by market capitalization (coin price multiplied by circulating supply), and the first two are, as expected, Bitcoin and Ethereum. But numbers 3 and 4, as well as many others in the top 100 all have something in common: they’re stablecoins.

What are Stablecoins?

Stablecoins are basically digital dollars. In simplest terms these are tokens that are valued 1:1 to a fiat currency; usually the US dollar. The idea that the coins stay close to their intended value, or peg, offers a few distinct features not found in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Allow me to explain.

Stablecoins offer… well… stability.

You may have noticed that at current inflation rates there is not much incentive to save money in most savings accounts, because the money will lose buying power at a higher percentage per year than the bank will pay you for access to it.

This creates an incentive to buy other assets, including stocks, bonds, gold and other rare metals, commodities, real estate etc. This has also led many to buy Bitcoin (which is programmatically disinflationary) or Ethereum (which uses a burn mechanism called EIP-1559 to disinflate or even deflate supply as network demand increases) with the view that these can function as hard currencies.

Interestingly though, if a currency is deflationary, there is actually a disincentive to spend it, knowing that by doing so, the thing you buy may never offer equivalent value to what you spent. With that said, that’s not even the biggest concern at the moment, as institutional and retail speculation against cryptocurrencies has left them in an extended period of price discovery, making them relatively volatile. For as long as this is the case, they unfortunately do not make very good currencies.

But why?

Stability, my dear Watson

Just like deflation may disincentivize the use of a currency due to the opportunity cost of spending versus saving, volatility introduces further uncertainty into every transaction. Either the payment I gave you will be worth more than what I received, or the payment you received will be worth less when you go to spend it on something else.

These are not hypothetical scenarios either. Some businesses do accept Bitcoin, and some people do spend it. In the first Crypto Misadventures, we talked about Laszlo Hanyecz whose purchase of two pizzas for 10,000 Bitcoins in 2010 would now be worth around $300,000,000. Laszlo doesn’t regret his decision, but some might. As such, for most people, Bitcoin is viewed as a long-term investment; digital gold.

And the same people who might choose to invest in Bitcoin as a store of value might prefer to spend something less volatile, or even — dare I say — stable.

Stablecoins allow two parties to transact without the worry of sudden shifts in value. They are the most practical form of currency for everyday transactions, cross-border remittances, and for pivoting to and from more volatile assets as a part of regular trading and investing cycles.

And importantly, since stablecoins do not fluctuate wildly in price, those living in countries with capital gains taxes on cryptocurrencies can avoid triggering taxable events with every purchase.

Now that we’ve covered the reason for their existence, let’s dive deep on what is undoubtedly the most important question we can ask…

Where do stablecoins get their value?

As mentioned at the beginning of this article, there are many popular stablecoins in circulation, each claiming to be pegged to a given reference currency, but what is a peg, and how do these so-called stablecoins maintain that peg? Anyone can say “this coin is worth 1 USD” but unless there’s consensus between every buyer, seller, sender, and receiver that the coin is worth 1 USD, the whole thing falls apart. And this has happened on a few occasions, so we definitely want to do our research before converting our greenbacks to digital dollars.

So let’s take a look at exactly what underlies the most popular stablecoins. We’ll do so by breaking them into groups based on the mechanisms they use for stability.

Fiat-collateralized Stablecoins

Examples: USDC, BUSD, GUSD, TUSD, USDT

The most common way to create a trusted stablecoin is to collateralize each coin 1:1 with actual fiat, held by a trust, ideally in some sort of audited reserve at one or more banks. But that’s not always the way so-called fiat-backed stablecoins work.

You may have heard of Tether, aka USDT. Tether is basically the OG stablecoin, originally launched on the Bitcoin blockchain via the Omni protocol. Now ported to basically every major blockchain, Tether enjoys the highest level of acceptance in the DeFi space. However, not everyone trusts Tether.

In 2019, the New York Attorney General filed a lawsuit against Tether accusing the company of misappropriating funds. The lawsuit was settled out of court for $18.5M but questions have repeatedly come up about Tether’s use of debt to collateralize its issuance, as well as the inconsistent self-reporting of offshore reserves.

For this reason, many people prefer to bypass Tether in favour of some of these other options:

USD Coin, aka USDC is the second most popular stablecoin by market capitalization. Like Tether, it is fiat-collateralized; unlike Tether it is backed only by USD cash and cash-equivalents, is held in custody in the United States in a fully audited and monitored account, and is redeemable 1:1 for US dollars via Circle’s website, Coinbase, and many other exchanges.

Binance USD aka BUSD is the third largest stablecoin in terms of market cap. It is a 1:1 USD-backed stablecoin approved by the New York State Department of Finance Services (NYDFS), issued in partnership with Paxos. For those heavily invested in the Binance ecosystem, this is probably going to be the preferred option, even though most other stablecoins have been ported to Binance Chain as well. One of the key features of BUSD is that Binance does not charge a fee to convert from BUSD to USDT, USDC, TUSD, or USDP (Paxos’ other near-identical stablecoin).

The Gemini dollar, aka GUSD is yet another fiat-backed stablecoin to come out of a crypto exchange. Gemini being perhaps the most regulatory compliant and trusted cryptocurrency exchange in North America, their stablecoin is exactly as compliant as you’d expect. Like Binance, Gemini’s coin is approved by the NYDFS, but unlike BUSD and USDC, GUSD reserves include FDIC insurance of up to $250,000 per user. This is a nice perk, but it hasn’t been enough to get GUSD into the top 100 coins by market cap.

Fiat-backed stable coins are popular, especially amongst users in the United States (and lawmakers), and something like USDC is going to be preferable, especially for institutions settling large dollar sums, but this type of coin does suffer from one particular flaw…

Stablecoin Centralized Risk

Above, I mentioned that Gemini’s USD reserves are insured. Probably the money in your bank account is insured too. In fact, it’s insured from the bank itself.

FDIC insurance exists because banks can go out of business. But when they go out of business, what happens to the funds? The answer before the 1930s was that all your money was gone. And gone it was for many during the great depression. The solution came from Franklin D. Roosevelt with his inauguration of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. The FDIC, like the CDIC in Canada, has banks pay a form of insurance on deposits they hold, such that a reasonable amount is protected for every depositor. Here’s an interesting anecdote from a 1998 FDIC report: A Brief History of Deposit Insurance in the United States.

Federal deposit insurance became effective on January 1, 1934, providing depositors with $2,500 in coverage, and by any measure it was an immediate success in restoring public confidence and stability to the banking system. Only nine banks failed in 1934, compared to more than 9,000 in the preceding four years.

9000! So, the mere existence of deposit insurance helped to provide a tremendous amount of stability to the financial system, to the benefit of many Americans. And yet ironically, trust in financial institutions today is getting lower and lower. This is due largely in part to the disenfranchisement of many communities, high administrative fees, and scandal after scandal from greedy bankers.

Clearly, insurance is not a solution to all the problems of the current financial system. This has led many to want to opt out of this system altogether. That is one reason cryptocurrencies exist: to provide financial sovereignty and freedom from banks.

Since cryptocurrencies on public blockchains are censorship-resistant and immutable, governments and banks can’t control the flow of dollars. This is a laudable goal for those that favour the rights of the individual, and correspondingly, it is the reason for the development of cryptocurrencies’ evil twin: Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) like China’s Digital Yuan.

CBDCs are inherently problematic, and, if hosted on government-controlled blockchains, or worse, non-public databases, would constitute the most problematic overreach imaginable: revokable money, social credit scores, and the ability to exclude people from participation in society entirely. It’s right out of a Black Mirror episode.

The worry then with fiat-collateralized stablecoins is that the US government may decide they don’t want their CBDCs to have to compete with cryptocurrency stablecoins, and since the stablecoin reserves are typically custodied on US soil, they’re easy targets.

To extrapolate this further, let’s imagine non-governmental stablecoins issued in countries like Russia, China, or Saudi Arabia. In this example, it’s easy for anyone to see that these coins would be at very real risk of government interference. And risk is the enemy of stability. So what are the alternatives?

Overcollateralized (Crypto-backed) Stablecoins

Examples: DAI, LUSD, agEUR

What if anyone in the world could mint their own stablecoin? This was the question that MakerDAO was seeking to answer with the creation of the Dai Stablecoin.

Maker allows users to deposit Ether into a vault to create an overcollateralized loan against which DAI is minted and borrowed. This over-collateralization allows Maker to ensure that DAI can hold its peg even through wild swings. In March of 2020, as a global pandemic was declared, extraordinary market volatility caused a deleveraging spiral that allowed DAI to briefly reach $1.11 causing loan liquidations for a number of users. MakerDAO responded quickly with changes to how the protocol handles liquidations and with the new Multi-Collateral Dai (MCD) system which allows for collateral supply of other cryptocurrencies, including other stablecoins.

Because DAI is minted by a smart-contract, the risk of interference by outside parties is very low and even changes to the protocol, like which cryptocurrencies can be accepted as collateral, are governed in a decentralized way. MakerDAO is, as its name suggests, a decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) and holders of the MKR token must vote on any proposed changes.

Let’s look at the strengths and weaknesses of DAI, since it is by far the most popular overcollateralized stablecoin (most of these qualities can be extrapolated to tokens using the same design, like LUSD, or the popular Euro stablecoin, agEUR).

Benefits of Dai

  • Dai can be minted by anyone, anywhere, without opening accounts or doing KYC. We take it for granted in North America, but in many parts of the world anonymous access to cryptocurrency could be the only option to avoid persecution by oppressive governments, cartels, or extremist groups.

  • Your collateral, not theirs. Unlike fiat-backed stablecoins, you don’t rely on a centralized holder of the currency. In the case of Gemini for example, you buy GUSD, then they deposit an equivalent amount in a bank account, and that bank holds it until such time that you sell GUSD back to Gemini. That level of abstraction (or “middlemen”) is what peer-to-peer cryptocurrencies and Decentralized Finance (DeFi) aim to eliminate. Dai is created through a smart contract. Your loan is not held by individuals at MakerDAO, it is held in a protocol on the blockchain.

  • Dai is infinite. Because you’re not worrying about exceeding the FDIC insurance cap, or trading dollars 1:1, you can create as much Dai as you want. And one day if the reserve currency of the world is no longer the US dollar, a stablecoin that pegs to something else (like what RAI is trying to do) would be able to operate using the same mechanics.

Weaknesses of Dai

  • Dai is not 1:1 collateralized. As I mentioned above, Dai is minted via an overcollateralized loan. This means that unlike USDC, for example, where you convert $1 (USD) to 1 USDC, with Dai, you will technically be putting in more collateral than the value of what you get out. Of course, you can get back your collateral by repaying the loan—in fact, some use this as a way to borrow stable assets against their Ether to go long— or you can also trade or borrow DAI as you would any other stablecoin.

  • Deleveraging risk. Although the protocol has been changed to dramatically reduce the risk of a deleveraging spiral like the one from March of 2020, the risk is not entirely eliminated. Those who prefer a 1:1 collateral ratio (based on fiat which is less volatile), may prefer to opt for fiat-backed stablecoins.

  • Multi-collateral Dai can be backed by other, more centralized stablecoins. Some users prefer to reduce their risk of liquidation when minting DAI by using other stablecoins, like USDC. At one time over 50% of MCD backing was made up of USDC, creating a centralized risk vector, though it has since shifted back towards a backing of predominantly Ether. In any case, decentralization purists may take issue with this.

  • Dai is not the most popular stablecoin. Due in large part to institutional adoption of USDC and the popularity of Tether outside of the United States, the market capitalization (at the time of writing) of Dai is about 10 times less than that of USDC, and about 12 times less than USDT. This might lead some to choose not to invest in Dai, resulting in lesser demand. In the world of DeFi where much of the returns are based on trading fees or loan interest, demand is key to maximizing returns.

There is at least one place to get great rates on DAI though, and that’s on Notional Finance. (Notional is actually the creator of this post). They are also an innovative DeFi platform for earning stable returns when lending, and locking in stable rates when borrowing.

Notional allows stable rate crypto lending and borrowing of four assets. Ether, Wrapped Bitcoin, USDC, and DAI. So if you’re looking for a way to earn yield on your stablecoins, look no further.

Undercollateralized Stablecoins

Examples: UST, BAC, USDD

Imagine a stable, currency-pegged token, that was bankless like Dai, but didn’t require over-collateralization. Sounds too good to be true, right? Well, so far, it has been. Every so-called _algorithmic stablecoin _(we’ll be avoiding the use of this popular misnomer from here on out) thus far has had its own controversy and chaos. In the second issue of Crypto Misadventures, we talked about getting rekt taking a gamble on Iron Finance’s vision of an algorithmic stablecoin. In retrospect though, Iron’s approach had pretty obvious flaws that neither we, nor Mark Cuban, took the time to study.

Since then we’ve seen an even bigger meltdown in the Terra ecosystem. Terra was an EVM compatible blockchain that used a symbiotic relationship between the platform native token, LUNA, and a family of stablecoins, the most prominent of which was a US dollar-pegged token called UST.

Using a system very similar to the one employed by failed projects Iron Finance and Basis Cash, Terra tried to create a stablecoin where rather than backing the coin, a process of seignorage is employed. How this works is that when UST goes above the $1 peg, the protocol incentivizes users to burn LUNA and mint UST. When UST goes below the $1 peg, the protocol incentivizes users to burn UST and mint LUNA.

The problem of course is that when both assets fall in tandem the only solution in the protocol is rapidly inflating LUNA to be able to burn enough to bring UST back towards its peg. If there is no demand for UST, because people are jumping ship as the price collapses, both tokens can easily go to zero.bravenewcoin-luna-fire-banner-min

LUNA and its associated US dollar stablecoin UST both went to zero in early May

And that’s exactly what happened. Both LUNA and UST lost so much value that the only remaining option was to fork the blockchain and create a new ecosystem in which the Terra “stablecoins” were no longer a feature.

Now, we’re seeing this exact model being proposed once again as USDD on the Tron blockchain and given how little difference there is between this project and Terra, many will probably sit this one out.

Novel Approaches to Decentralized Stablecoins

The most compelling argument for stablecoin experimentation is the same one used for cryptocurrency in general: the potential benefits of reducing the influence and centralized risk brought by institutions. Stability being the goal, it makes sense that some want to feel confident that corrupt motives and perverse incentives are unable to play a role in the value of a given token.

With that spirit of experimentation in mind, let’s take a look at a few novel approaches. The inclusion of these tokens is for educational purposes only and should not be seen as an endorsement of their safety as investment vehicles or currencies. Do your own follow-up research, and invest your money according to your own risk tolerance.

FRAX — Fractional-Reserve Algorithmic Stablecoin

Frax gets its name from the fractional-algorithmic stability mechanism it employs. This novel approach shifts the ratio of collateralization algorithmically according to the market’s pricing of the FRAX token. If FRAX is trading at above $1, the protocol decreases the collateral ratio. If FRAX is trading at under $1, the protocol increases the collateral ratio.

The idea here is actually based on the design of collateralized stablecoins. If we assume that the market only has confidence in a token because they believe it is redeemable for $1 of value, then logically, why not back it accordingly? Adding collateral increases confidence during times of doubt and reducing collateral decreases confidence at times when the market has started to overvalue or speculate against the token.

Currently, the only accepted collateral for FRAX is USDC, which on one hand reduces risk of volatility, but on the other hand, introduces sufficient counterparty risk. As with Dai, the use of fiat-backed stablecoins as collateral has garnered much criticism from decentralization purists.

AMPL / SPOT — Elastic Supply Rebasing Token

Ampleforth is not a stablecoin. Instead, it is a rebasing token that aims to maintain a peg over long periods (while being volatile over short periods) through a novel mechanism of supply elasticity.

Essentially the protocol inflates or deflates supply every single day algorithmically to ensure stable value. Interestingly, and perhaps most importantly, it is non-dilutive, which means you are not buying a number of coins, but rather a percentage of the total. This means, as the supply shifts, your balance shifts to help the currency return to its peg.

While stablecoins aim to maintain a peg to the current value of the US dollar (or whatever fiat currency they’re pegged to), Ampleforth is now, and will (theoretically) be forever pegged to the value of the 2019 US dollar. Making this, ideally, a truly stable currency, even free from the effects of monetary inflation or deflation.

Due to the volatility that AMPL sees in the short term, it’s not ideal for spending, but Ampleforth does intend to introduce a stablecoin of sorts, called SPOT, which will be backed by AMPL. Given the long-term stable properties of AMPL, it should be a suitable backing for such a token, which will be nearly identical only without the short term supply volatility and rebasing qualities.

That said, neither AMPL nor SPOT are intended to be stablecoins in the way USDC, DAI, or even FRAX are. Like Reflexer’s RAI token (basically single collateral DAI without a peg), these novel tokens aim to hold a stable value over time, without correlating to the current value of a given currency. The idea here is freedom from the monetary policies of central banks, without the volatility of assets like Bitcoin or Ether.

All of this is experimental. There are a lot of great minds working on projects like AMPL and RAI, but they are operating in entirely new territory. Whether or not you feel comfortable participating in these experiments on the future of finance will depend on your risk tolerance. But to say the least, it’s worth knowing that they exist.

Conclusion

Stablecoins serve many of the same functions as fiat currencies, but within the framework of self-sovereign finance, free from banks, borders, and middlemen. By merely existing on open-source, permissionless blockchains, they offer access to stable currencies to the unbanked, and give the already banked a way to move away from traditional finance to more open, transparent, and equitable systems.

Just by moving from US dollars to USDC, you can go from earning 0.01% on your savings account at the bank, to earning a fixed rate hundreds of times that (4.65% at the time of writing) on Notional Finance. And that’s just one of the many options for what you can do with your money when you have complete sovereignty over it.

Hopefully we’ve opened your eyes to the benefits of stablecoins and, most importantly, we’ve helped demystify what they are and how the various designs differ from one another. Whether or not you choose to own stablecoins, as well as which ones you prefer, is going to depend on your risk tolerance, your financial approach, and even your theses around things like decentralization and US monetary policy. As always, ensure you do your own research.


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