XRP Price Prediction: Positive RSI Divergence Signals Momentum Shift as Analysts Target $1.30 Retest

While the broader trend remains cautious, analysts are increasingly focused on a bullish divergence forming on the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a pattern often associated with weakening bearish momentum and the possibility of a recovery.

The latest XRP price action comes as the token attempts to stabilize above a key support zone near $1.13 after briefly falling to $1.05 during a recent market-wide correction.

XRP Defends Key Support as Bullish Divergence Emerges

According to market analyst CryptoPulse, XRP recently completed what appears to be a liquidity sweep below a major support area before quickly recovering. The move pushed the asset down to approximately $1.05, triggering stop losses and forcing leveraged traders out of positions before buyers stepped back into the market.

XRP is forming a bullish RSI divergence near $1.13, signaling strengthening momentum and a potential move toward $1.30. Source: @CryptoPulse_CRU via X

More importantly, the decline produced a notable divergence between price action and momentum indicators. While XRP recorded a lower low on the chart, the RSI formed a higher low compared to its February reading.

CryptoPulse described the setup as a structural reset rather than a continuation of the downtrend, noting that the market has reclaimed the $1.13 support region after the temporary breakdown.

The analyst stated:

“Price swept the $1.13 macro support, overshot to $1.05, and triggered the capitulation flush that needed to happen before any recovery could begin.”

The recovery above support has encouraged traders to watch for a possible move toward the next major resistance level near $1.30.

XRP Price Prediction: Why Analysts Are Watching $1.30

From a technical perspective, the $1.30 level carries significant importance because it previously acted as a major support area before being lost during the recent correction.

Analysts believe a successful retest of this zone could help determine whether the current rebound is merely a relief rally or the beginning of a broader recovery phase.

Analysts identify $1.30 as XRP’s primary upside target, while a sustained daily close below $1.05 would invalidate the current bullish outlook. Source: 3Commas on TradingView

CryptoPulse’s chart projection suggests XRP may continue building a base above $1.13 before attempting a move through the $1.20 region and eventually challenging $1.30 resistance.

A daily close above $1.30 would be viewed as a stronger bullish signal. Such a move would convert former resistance back into support and potentially open the door toward the next major technical barrier near $1.55.

However, the bullish scenario remains dependent on XRP maintaining support above the recent low. A sustained break below $1.05 could weaken the recovery structure and increase the risk of a decline toward the psychological $1.00 level.

Technical Indicators Show Mixed Signals

Despite the improving momentum picture, broader technical indicators continue to present a cautious outlook.

According to recent TradingView data, XRP was trading around $1.13, with the overall technical summary rating classified as Neutral. The indicator breakdown showed 14 Sell signals, 10 Neutral signals, and only 2 Buy signals.

XRP was trading at around $1.14, up 3.06% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: XRP price via Brave New Coin 

The RSI (14) currently stands at 35.10, approaching oversold territory but not yet signaling a confirmed reversal. Other momentum indicators remain largely neutral, including the Stochastic oscillator at 23.20 and Williams %R at -73.99.

One encouraging sign comes from the Momentum (10) indicator, which has shifted to a Buy signal, suggesting short-term selling pressure may be slowing. At the same time, the MACD remains negative at -0.06656, indicating that bearish momentum has not fully disappeared.

These readings suggest that while conditions may be improving, traders are still waiting for stronger confirmation before declaring a trend reversal.

Moving Averages Continue to Pressure XRP Price

The largest challenge facing the XRP price prediction remains the position of the asset relative to its major moving averages.

Most short-term and long-term averages continue to generate Sell signals. The 10-day Exponential Moving Average sits at approximately $1.16, while the 50-day EMA remains significantly higher near $1.30.

Longer-term trend indicators paint an even more conservative picture. The 100-day Simple Moving Average is near $1.36, while the 200-day moving averages remain above $1.58.

This structure indicates that XRP is still trading below key trend levels despite its recent stabilization. Until those resistance zones are reclaimed, analysts expect rallies to encounter selling pressure from traders seeking to exit positions.

Elliott Wave Projection Suggests Larger Bullish Cycle Remains Intact

Beyond short-term price action, some analysts continue to view the current decline as part of a broader corrective phase within a larger bullish cycle.

A recent 5-day Elliott Wave projection suggests that the rally seen between late 2024 and 2025 may have represented only the first major impulse wave of a longer-term structure.

An Elliott Wave analysis suggests XRP may remain in a broader bullish cycle, with the current pullback potentially representing a Wave (2) correction before the next upward move. Source: Hannya-waves on TradingView

Under this interpretation, XRP is currently completing a Wave (2) correction within a larger Cycle Wave V pattern.

The primary accumulation zone identified by the analysis lies between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels, ranging from approximately $1.19 to $0.91.

As long as XRP remains within or above this region and forms a sustainable reversal pattern, the broader bullish outlook remains technically valid.

The analysis estimates a 65% to 70% probability that the macro bullish structure remains intact, although analysts caution that a decisive break below $0.91 would weaken that outlook considerably.

XRP Outlook Remains Balanced Despite Improving Momentum

The latest XRP news today highlights a market at an important crossroads. Momentum indicators are beginning to show signs of stabilization, and the appearance of bullish RSI divergence has increased expectations for a potential recovery toward $1.30.

At the same time, the broader trend remains challenged by bearish moving averages and a technical structure that has yet to fully confirm a reversal.

For now, traders appear focused on whether Ripple XRP can continue defending the $1.13 support area and build enough momentum for a retest of $1.30. A successful reclaim of that level would strengthen the bullish case, while a move back below recent lows could revive downside risks and delay any sustained recovery in the XRP crypto price.